Metro Vancouver’s weather forecast includes risky hiking conditions in some areas.
Metro Vancouver residents won’t have much dry weather this week… but they’re not likely to experience any heavy rain showers.
Environment Canada meteorologist Chris Doyle says locals may see a few showers on Wednesday, November 13, but the wettest weather occurred Tuesday night.
Similarly, the North Shore mountains may see 10 to 20 mm of precipitation and lightning strikes, but lower elevations are not expected to experience significant stormy weather. Other cities should receive rainfall up to 10 mm.
“Colder air in the upper atmosphere creates instability, but the likelihood of relief in the Lower Mainland is slim,” he told VIA
Winds of 20 km/h and gusts of up to 40 km/h are expected in Metro Vancouver tonight.
The wet weather should ease on Thursday with a 40 percent chance of showers during the day.
A ridge built overhead on Friday will deliver “the nicest day of the next five,” allowing missed sun to dry out the sodden ground, Doyle explained.
“Saturday will start off dry, but a cold front will move in and (we’ll see) rain and gusty winds,” he said. “It is important to keep in mind that we are in a period of high tide, and ocean levels will be close to the top of the sea wall by Sunday morning.”
The weather forecast for Metro Vancouver includes risky hiking conditions
People walking or running near the water in False Creek, Stanley Park and other beach or ocean areas should be aware of rising water levels. High winds can make these activities risky.
Monday looks “pretty dry,” but then the department is unsure about what lies ahead for the rest of the week. Moisture flows over a high-pressure ridge, but meteorologists can’t determine how close Metro Vancouver will get to the moisture band.
Doyle says typhoon activity in the Pacific makes forecasting weather forecasts difficult at this time of year because they generate errors in the models five or seven days in advance.
“Based on the probabilities it looks cloudy but dry, but we cannot rule out significant precipitation,” he explains.
November’s signal is near average, with a “slightly cool bias”, but it is difficult to predict how wet the rest of the month will be. It may be ‘cool but dry’ rather than a cold, wet month. However, La Niña years typically increase the likelihood of colder, wetter conditions, although the effects of the weather phenomenon are most visible after the winter holidays.
For now, the meteorologist has a caveat for people in Metro Vancouver hoping to enjoy the November sun.
“Given our uncertainty about next week: Enjoy Friday!”
Stay informed with hyper-local forecasts around the world 50 neighborhoods in the Lower Mainland with VIA’s Weatherhood.